Indicative mid-2026 EU ranges per MWh of delivered heat — prices move, so treat columns as relative positions and recheck before deciding. CO2 factors: UK DESNZ 2024; ETS value at the live price shown on this hub.
| Route | €/MWh of heat (indicative mid-2026 EU) | CO2 | Reality check |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas (reference) | ≈€35–55 | 0.183 kg/kWh → ≈0.22 t/MWh-heat at 82% boiler | the incumbent; plus ≈€17/MWh-heat of ETS cost at full price |
| Biomass (wood chips) | ≈€30–50 + conversion capex | biogenic — counts ~0 in ETS with sustainability criteria | handling/storage space; supply contracts decisive |
| Heat pump (COP 3–4, <150 °C duties) | ≈€30–60 at €0.10–0.18/kWh elec | Scope 1 zero; Scope 2 falls with the grid | the lead electrification route for low-temp heat |
| Direct electric (resistance) | ≈€100–180 | Scope 2 only | rarely economic vs gas except niche/peak uses |
| Green hydrogen | ≈€150–250 today | zero at point of use | for duties that can't electrify; costs falling, not yet competitive |
Ranges assume EU industrial tariffs mid-2026; your contract prices govern. Boiler/heat-pump efficiencies stated inline. This is a screening table — the savings calculator handles the efficiency tier that should come first.
Every alternative route prices per MWh — so the cheapest MWh is the one you no longer need. A 10–20% efficiency programme (insulation, steam, heat recovery — the practices) shrinks the capex of whichever route you pick by the same fraction, and pays for itself meanwhile. Decarbonization merit order, fully priced: €/t abated ranking →
Boilers, kilns, heat exchangers, valves and steam lines lose energy continuously. Inzonex makes patented (UK GB2508992.1) removable modular insulation — snap-fastened covers engineered per temperature tier, not generic off-the-shelf jackets: