Types of predictive maintenance
Seven predictive-maintenance techniques, what physical fault each one actually detects, the assets they suit, the warning time they realistically give, and where each one is blind. Technique is chosen by failure mode, not by asset type.
| Topic | Key point |
|---|---|
| Choose the technique by failure mode, not by asset | The most common way to waste a predictive-maintenance budget is to buy a technique and then look for somewhere to point it. |
| The seven techniques at a glance | Technique What it detects Typical assets Warning time Vibration analysis Bearing wear, imbalance, misalignment, looseness, gear defects Pumps, motors, |
| Where each technique is blind | The blind spots matter more than the capabilities, because they are what a vendor demonstration never shows. |
| Multimodal beats single-technique | Techniques overlap deliberately. |
| What a technique needs before it works | Requirement Why it decides success Healthy baseline Trending is relative. |
| Governing standards by technique | Area Standard Condition monitoring, general guidelines ISO 17359 Data interpretation and diagnostics ISO 13379 Data processing, communication and pres |
Choose the technique by failure mode, not by asset
The most common way to waste a predictive-maintenance budget is to buy a technique and then look for somewhere to point it. Each technique senses a specific physical consequence of degradation. If the failure mode you care about does not produce that consequence early enough to act on, the technique will not help however good the analytics are.
Work in this order: identify the dominant failure mode, establish whether it has a usable P-F interval, then pick the technique that sees that mode.
The seven techniques at a glance
| Technique | What it detects | Typical assets | Warning time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vibration analysis | Bearing wear, imbalance, misalignment, looseness, gear defects | Pumps, motors, fans, gearboxes, compressors | Weeks to months |
| Infrared thermography | Abnormal heat: loose or corroded electrical joints, overloaded circuits, refractory and insulation loss, blocked flow | Switchgear, MCCs, steam and process lines, furnaces, bearings | Days to weeks |
| Oil and wear-debris analysis | Lubricant degradation, water and particulate contamination, wear-metal generation | Gearboxes, hydraulics, engines, turbines | Weeks to months |
| Airborne and structure-borne ultrasound | Pressure and vacuum leaks, steam-trap failure, early bearing friction, electrical discharge | Compressed air, steam systems, switchgear, slow-speed bearings | Immediate to weeks |
| Motor current signature analysis | Rotor bar defects, eccentricity, winding faults, mechanical load anomalies | Induction motors, especially where physical access is poor | Weeks |
| Performance and process monitoring | Efficiency loss: fouling, wear, internal leakage, blockage | Heat exchangers, pumps, compressors, boilers | Weeks to months |
| Acoustic emission | Crack initiation and growth, structural defects, very early bearing damage | Pressure vessels, structures, slow-speed rotating equipment | Varies widely |
Warning time is indicative and depends entirely on the failure mode, duty cycle and measurement interval — treat the column as a ranking, not a specification.
Where each technique is blind
The blind spots matter more than the capabilities, because they are what a vendor demonstration never shows.
- Vibration analysis needs stable speed and load to trend cleanly. On variable-duty machines the signal moves with the process, and without operating context you generate false alarms. It also struggles on very slow-speed shafts, where the energy is too low — that is acoustic-emission territory.
- Thermography sees surfaces, not interiors, and it is only as good as the emissivity setting and the load at the moment of the survey. A lightly-loaded circuit can look healthy and fail under full load. Reflective bare metal is the classic misreading.
- Oil analysis tells you a machine is generating wear debris, not always which component. Sampling point and procedure dominate the result; an inconsistent sampling method produces a trend of the sampling, not of the machine.
- Ultrasound is excellent at finding leaks and trap failures and poor at quantifying how bad a mechanical fault is. It answers "is there a fault" far better than "how long have I got".
- Motor current signature analysis reads the motor through its electrical supply, so driven-equipment faults arrive attenuated and mixed with supply-side distortion.
- Performance monitoring needs instrumentation you can trust. Drifting temperature or flow transmitters produce a convincing efficiency-loss trend that is purely an instrument problem.
- Acoustic emission is highly sensitive and highly noise-prone; it usually needs a specialist to separate real crack growth from process noise.
Multimodal beats single-technique
Techniques overlap deliberately. A bearing degrading on a critical pump will usually show in more than one channel: ultrasound first as friction changes, then vibration as defect frequencies appear, then wear metals in the oil, then temperature at the end when it is nearly too late. Reading two independent channels together is the cheapest way to cut false alarms, because instrument drift and process noise rarely fake the same fault twice.
This is also where analytics genuinely add value: not by inventing a new physical sensor, but by combining condition channels with process and maintenance history that a single-technique analyst never sees together.
What a technique needs before it works
| Requirement | Why it decides success |
|---|---|
| Healthy baseline | Trending is relative. Monitoring fitted to an already-degraded machine encodes the fault as normal. |
| Repeatable measurement point | Different sensor position or sampling point equals a different signal, not a different condition. |
| Operating context | Speed, load and process state, or variable-duty assets produce unreadable trends. |
| Interval below the P-F window | Measure less often than the fault develops and the failure lands between checks. |
| An owner for the alarm | A route from alert to scheduled work order. Without it the programme produces reports, not avoided failures. |
| Certified interpretation | ISO 18436 sets qualification categories for condition-monitoring personnel per technique. |
Governing standards by technique
| Area | Standard |
|---|---|
| Condition monitoring, general guidelines | ISO 17359 |
| Data interpretation and diagnostics | ISO 13379 |
| Data processing, communication and presentation | ISO 13374 |
| Vibration measurement and evaluation | ISO 20816 (supersedes ISO 10816) |
| Prognostics | ISO 13381 |
| Personnel qualification per technique | ISO 18436 |
| Reliability and maintenance data collection | ISO 14224 |
| Maintenance terminology | EN 13306 |
Frequently asked questions
What are the main types of predictive maintenance?
The established techniques are vibration analysis, infrared thermography, oil and wear-debris analysis, airborne and structure-borne ultrasound, motor current signature analysis, performance or process monitoring, and acoustic emission. Each senses a different physical consequence of degradation.
Which predictive maintenance technique should I start with?
Start from your dominant failure modes rather than the technique. For plants built around rotating equipment, vibration analysis usually covers the largest share of costly failure modes. For compressed air and steam systems, ultrasound normally finds the fastest payback because leak and steam-trap losses are continuous.
Is thermography predictive maintenance?
Yes. Infrared thermography is a condition-monitoring technique that detects abnormal heat patterns — loose electrical connections, overloaded circuits, insulation and refractory loss, blocked flow. It becomes predictive when readings are trended over time rather than taken as one-off surveys.
How many techniques does a programme need?
More than one on critical assets. Independent channels confirming the same developing fault is the cheapest way to cut false alarms, because instrument drift and process noise rarely mimic the same fault in two different physical measurements.
Do I need certified analysts?
For interpretation, in practice yes. ISO 18436 defines qualification categories for condition-monitoring personnel by technique. Data collection can be routed to trained operators, but diagnosis and severity calls need qualified interpretation or the programme produces alarms nobody trusts.
Related guides
Predictive vs preventive maintenance
In EN 13306, the European maintenance-terminology standard, predictive maintenance is a sub-type of preventive maintenance, not its opposite. The real dividing line is what triggers the work: a fixed interval, or a measured and forecast condition. Whether prediction is possible at all depends on the asset's P-F interval.
Predictive maintenance: a practical guide
What predictive maintenance is, how it differs from preventive maintenance, which techniques fit which assets, and how to start without boiling the ocean.
Sensor-based vs analytics-based predictive maintenance
Sensor-based predictive maintenance adds condition sensors to specific machines — fast and accurate on rotating equipment, but costs per machine. Analytics-based models existing historian and SCADA data to cover many assets without new sensors — better for scale, but dependent on data quality.
Software that helps
Augury
Machine health monitoring for rotating equipment using vibration and AI.
AVEVA Predictive Analytics
Early-warning analytics for critical process and power assets.
Emerson AMS
Asset management and condition monitoring for process plants.